Archive for Alvaro Robles

Junior Middleweight: 2014, Mar 17-23

Posted in Junior Middleweight, Rankings with tags , , , , , , , on August 6, 2014 by danboxing
Saturday in Liverpool, Kell Brook put on a bit of a show against Mexican gatekeeper Alvaro Robles.  He never scored a knockdown on the tough brawler, but piled up enough punishment by the 8th round that it forced a Mexican corner to throw in the towel- no easy task.  Robles’ attack was effective in spots, and he did some good sporadic body work, in particular.  He just didn’t have the base skill level to maintain that attack over time against a high-class operator like Brook.

 

Across the pond in Bayamon, Puerto Rico, gatekeeper Ed Paredes easily took care of low-level New Jersey journeyman George Sosa with a second round TKO on the non-televised Garcia-Herrera undercard.

 

The same night in Sao Paolo, Brazil, undefeated local prospect Patrick Teixeira got a knockout win over low-level journeyman Ignacio Lucero.  He didn’t look particularly good to me.  Lucero was backing him up consistently despite appearing significantly smaller.  The knockout punch appeared to be a glancing shot, and yet Lucero would have us believe he was out cold from his reaction.  I’m suspicious of, at least, Lucero’s will to win.

 

No changes, as Brook is still just barely unable to overcome Guido Pitto to claim a ranking.
 
 
 
Dan’s Top 20 (Weeks in Current Position-Weeks in Top 10 if applicable-Weeks in Top 20)
Champ: None
1) Saul Alvarez (2-159-174)
Last Fight: 3/8/2014- TKO10 #10 Alfredo Angulo
Next Fight: Unknown
It’s a very soupy division, with a lot of action at the top, but a few paradoxes, especially with the way I saw some close fights.  You could make an argument, I think, for Alvarez to be ranked anywhere between #1 and #5.
2) Carlos Molina (2-141-156)
Last Fight: 9/14/2013- W (SD12) vs. #5 Ishe Smith
Next Fight: Unknown
We found out some pretty bad info about Molina’s past when he was arrested on past warrants and detained for illegal immigration following an apparent deportation from several years ago.  His fight with Jermall Charlo was cancelled, and Molina’s immediate future in the sport is up in the air.
3) Erislandy Lara (2-141-163)
Last Fight: 12/7/2013- UD12 #4 Austin Trout
Next Fight: 5/2/2014- vs. #6 Ishe Smith
Mayweather says that his protege Smith will be fighting Lara on May 2, the day before Mayweather-Maidana.
4) Floyd Mayweather, Jr. (2-27-27)
Last Fight: 9/14/2013- W* (MD12) vs. #2 Saul Alvarez
Next Fight: 5/3/2014- vs. #4 WW Marcos Maidana (at WW)
Floyd will fight Maidana rather than Khan.  Thank goodness.
5) Austin Trout (15-94-163)
Last Fight: 12/7/2013- L (UD12) vs. #5 Erislandy Lara
Next Fight: Unknown
Trout might be getting to that unfortunate position of having a record underwhelming enough to be low-reward, while still being easily skilled enough to be high-risk.  He says essentially that he wants worthwhile fights in 2014, rather than a soft diet for rebuilding purposes.
6) Ishe Smith (27-56-56)
Last Fight: 9/14/2013- L (SD12) vs. #1 Carlos Molina
Next Fight: 5/2/2014- vs. #3 Erislandy Lara
See Lara’s notes, above.
7) Anthony Mundine (16-16-16)
Last Fight: 1/29/2014- UD10 Gunnar Jackson (UNR) (at MW)
Next Fight: 4/2/2014- vs. Joshua Clottey (UNR)
Mundine will be fighting Joshua Clottey on April 2, and wants a fight with Lara after that.
8) Miguel Cotto (16-198-198)
Last Fight: 10/5/2013- TKO3 #11 Delvin Rodriguez
Next Fight: 6/7/2014- vs. MW Champ Sergio Martinez (at MW)
Cotto and Martinez have now officially agreed to a Middleweight Championship fight on June 7 at MSG.
9) Cornelius Bundrage (16-189-189)
Last Fight: 1/24/2014- UD12 Joey Hernandez (UNR)
Next Fight: Unknown
K9 was the mandatory for the Molina-Charlo winner.  With that fight at least postponed, it’s unclear what will happen next.
10Alfredo Angulo (16-234-234)
Last Fight: 3/8/2014- L (TKO10) vs. #4 Saul Alvarez
Next Fight: Unknown
Angulo could probably use a fight with a gatekeeper or low level fringe contender just to get his career momentum going.
11) Sergey Rabchenko (16-92)
Last Fight: 11/16/2013- UD12 Bradley Pryce (UNR)
Next Fight: Unknown
Apparently reports that Rabchenko had dumped his Euro belt were premature.  His promoter, Ricky Hatton, is saying that he is waiting on a date to fight Italy’s Emanuele Della Rosa for that title.  He’s also ranked #1 by the WBC, so with Mayweather apparently going back down to 147, he hopes to fight for a vacant alphabet belt after that.

12) Javier Maciel (16-21)
Last Fight: 10/26/2013- Robbery L (SD12) vs. #14 Brian Rose
Next Fight: Unknown
After the blog “A Puro Boxeo” reported that Maciel would be fighting Baysangurov on March 15, there’s been no mention of that fight anywhere else, and it doesn’t appear on Boxrec’s schedule.  I have to assume it’s off, or that the reporting was incorrect to begin with.
13) Demetrius Andrade (16-19)
Last Fight: 11/9/2013- W* (SD12) vs. #13 Vanes Martirosyan
Next Fight: Unknown Date- vs. #19 Brian Rose
Andrade and Rose have agreed to fight in the US, with June 14 now likely.
14) Delvin Rodriguez (16-140)
Last Fight: 10/5/2013- L (TKO3) vs. #7 Miguel Cotto
Next Fight: Unknown
Rodriguez appears to be solid against borderline top-10 types (see Wolak), but completely out of his depth at just a tad higher level.
15) Vanes Martirosyan (16-146)
Last Fight: 11/9/2013- L* (SD12) vs. Demetrius Andrade (UNR)
Next Fight: 3/21/2014- vs. Mario Lozano (UNR)
Vanes has signed with a new promoter, and will debut under the Goossen-Tutor banner on March 21st’s Friday Night Fights broadcast.  He was initially slated to fight the solid Luciano Cuello, but he’ll settle for mid-level journeyman Mario Lozano after Cuello pulled out over money.
16) Jermell Charlo (8-41)
Last Fight: 1/25/2014- UD10 Gabriel Rosado (UNR)
Next Fight: Unknown
Charlo let Rosado back into the fight late, but overall was very impressive against a battle-tested opponent.
17) Gabriel Rosado (8-8)
Last Fight: 1/25/2014- L (UD10) vs. #18 Jermell Charlo
Next Fight: Unknown
Atrocious judges and a fragile eyelid have helped put Rosado’s career more or less in tatters.
18) Willie Nelson (8-55)
Last Fight: 6/29/2013- UD10 Luciano Cuello (UNR)
Next Fight: Unknown
It appears that Nelson-Kirkland has become a casualty of Gennady Golovkin’s withdrawal from the planned 4/26 HBO main event.  No word on Nelson’s next move.
19) Brian Rose (8-52)
Last Fight: 10/26/2013- Robbery W (Draw at best) vs. Javier Maciel (UNR)
Next Fight: Unknown
See Andrade’s notes, above.
20) Guido Pitto (8-14)
Last Fight: 10/26/2013- L* (UD12) vs. #20 Jack Culcay
Next Fight: Unknown

 

The Week Ahead: 
Monday
Julian Williams vs. Freddy Hernandez; Boston, Massachusetts; FS1 (US)
Williams is an undefeated Golden Boy prospect who is already pretty well-established in the division, and might even be rated if he had made 154 for any of his significant wins.  He did so for his recent fight with Hugo Centeno, but Centeno begged out of that fight with a cut before 4 rounds had been complete, after getting his butt handed to him for the first 3 plus.  Hernandez was once a respected gatekeeper, but he’s lost his last 4 and is probably better viewed as a mid-to-upper level journeyman at this point.

 

Friday
Vanes Martirosyan vs. Mario Lozano; Cabazon, California; ESPN2 (US)
Vanes was originally set to fight Argentine tough guy Luciano Cuello, but that fight quickly fell apart.  Martirosyan will instead be headlining the Friday Nights broadcast almost all by himself, as Mexico’s Lozano is a confirmed mid-level journeyman, and very little threat.  His crowning achievement is a 2012 decision over a journeyman brother of Canelo.

Junior Middleweight: 2014, Mar 10-16

Posted in Junior Middleweight, Rankings with tags , , , , , , , on July 31, 2014 by danboxing
#4 Canelo Alvarez was too crisp, too heavy-handed, and too good for #10 Alfredo Angulo in the Saturday main event of Showtime’s PPV show from Las Vegas.  Canelo had a lot of zip on his punches, and stayed uncharacteristically active throughout the fight.  Angulo was ready-made for him.  He kept walking into the shots, but just couldn’t get anything behind his own shots.  I narrowly gave Angulo round 8, but that was it.  Canelo was pretty dominant, and Tony Weeks mercifully stopped it in the 10th after Canelo landed yet another hard, flush uppercut to El Perro’s chin.  

 

The overzealous fans and to some extent the Showtime broadcast team created what in my opinion was a fake controversy by acting like the stoppage might in some way be tantamount to a robbery.  Look.  Everybody with eyes or ears knew that Angulo wasn’t going to win the fight, and he was taking a legitimately horrific beating on his way to the loss.  Tony Weeks is there to enforce the rules and ensure a fair fight, but above all, he’s there to protect the safety of the fighters.  Was two rounds of a foregone conclusion really worth risking the life or long-term health of a family man (with no defense) like Angulo?  Not by a long shot.  Angulo is a fighter, so he is naturally going to disagree and maybe even believe irrationally in his ability to win.  But that doesn’t change the unequivocal fact that Weeks did exactly the right thing.

 

The chief support bout for the fight was to be #1 Carlos Molina vs. Jermall Charlo, a highly-touted undefeated prospect.  Unfortunately (and surprisingly to many, including me), it turns out Molina has a checkered past.  I won’t get into it here, but if you want to know the details it’s readily available online.  Apparently he was deported on the basis of these “checkers” several years ago, and so when he was picked up on a warrant from Wisconsin, ICE detained him essentially as an illegal immigrant, and the fight was cancelled.  Molina loses out on a reasonably big fight- and perhaps deservedly so.  Charlo does too, and that is unfortunate for any measure.  Despite being unranked currently, Charlo is legitimately a top prospect, and was far from a no-hoper in this one.

 

It may be due to incompetent googling on my part, but am frequently unable to find video on the many close decisions at the Japanese Championship level, and this Tuesday’s upset of gatekeeper Tadashi Yuba by Takayuki Hosokawa in Tokyo (by close majority decision, no less) was unfortunately no exception.  I’ve been saying this too much lately, but I have to simply take the result at face value.  Scores were 95-95, 96-94, and 97-93.

 

Canelo actually pulled some shenanigans and paid Angulo to raise the contract weight to 155 shortly before the weigh-in.  In this case, I’m still not going to treat it as a middleweight fight.  Neither guy has ever met a serious opponent as a middleweight until now, and I have little doubt that Canelo would have made weight if a title had been at stake, since he only missed it (at the first try) by a pound and came into the ring as the smaller man unofficially.  If I eventually have to remove Canelo from these rankings for moving up, I’ll consider ranking him at 160 based on this fight, but I think it would be rewarding bad behavior to give him a dual ranking just because he’d rather pay a small portion of his large purse than burn off an extra pound.  That being the case, I’m treating it for all intents and purposes as a standard light middleweight contest.

 

This is a messy division to rate.  The easy thing to do would be to leave both Canelo and Angulo where they are.  Angulo, after all, has still been proven on a higher level than Rabchenko, and Floyd got a win over Canelo in their recent fight.  No brainer, right?  Well here’s the thing.  I thought there was truly nothing to separate Floyd and Canelo in the fight, except Floyd’s reputation.  I’m one of a small minority of probably 2 people (the other being unjustly pilloried judge CJ Ross) that believe that, but I believe it just the same.  I’ve never made it a practice to make what other people will think part of my scoring or rankings criteria, and I won’t start now.  Canelo’s win is the small spur he needs, in my book, to overcome the deference I gave to the judges’ decision in the Mayweather fight, especially when coupled with the fact that Floyd’s only other outing at 154 was another close one- and another debatable decision, as I saw it- against Cotto.  Absent an absolute requirement that Floyd be ranked ahead of him, Canelo’s deep resume at 154 completely overwhelms Floyd’s work at that weight, no questions asked.  

 

So then it’s Alvarez vs. Lara.  Lara just dominated a guy that I thought Alvarez all but certainly lost to in Austin Trout.  The stoppage wins over Angulo cancel out, and beyond that, Alvarez’s sheer volume of good wins just crushes Lara’s, especially when you give him some degree of credit for the Mayweather effort, as I do.  So although I see logical problems with it due to Trout, Alvarez wins that head-to-head, as well.  

 

Now it’s Alvarez vs. Molina for the #1 spot.  The Angulo and Spinks wins were roughly equivalent.  Rhodes and Cintron were both ranked #7, and only a month apart.  Canelo vs. #3 Trout was roughly a draw as I treat it, and that roughly cancels out with Molina’s legit but very close and debatable win over #5 Smith.  The Mayweather fight cancels out with Molina’s should-be win over (admittedly overrated) #3 James Kirkland.  Molina’s 2009 win over Danny Perez, let’s say, cancels out with Alvarez’s destruction of Cintron (even though that’s really advantage Alvarez).  That just leaves Molina with a draw against then-#20 Lara.  Canelo answers with dominant wins over welterweight contenders or fringe contenders Josesito Lopez, Shane Mosley, Alfonso Gomez, and Matthew Hatton, as well as fringe contender Lovemore N’Dou and gatekeeper Carlos Baldomir.  I think between all of them, they easily overwhelm the Lara draw, especially as unproven as Lara was at the time relative to today.  

 

So Canelo is the new #1, as Molina, Lara, and Mayweather each drop a place.  Angulo does stay put.  Hosokawa assumes Yuba’s former position as a gatekeeper.

 

Dan’s Top 20 (Weeks in Current Position-Weeks in Top 10 if applicable-Weeks in Top 20)
Champ: None
1) Saul Alvarez (1-158-173)
Last Fight: 3/8/2014- TKO10 #10 Alfredo Angulo
Next Fight: Unknown
It’s a very soupy division, with a lot of action at the top, but a few paradoxes, especially with the way I saw some close fights.  You could make an argument, I think, for Alvarez to be ranked anywhere between #1 and #5.
2) Carlos Molina (1-140-155)
Last Fight: 9/14/2013- W (SD12) vs. #5 Ishe Smith
Next Fight: Unknown
We found out some pretty bad info about Molina’s past when he was arrested on past warrants and detained for illegal immigration following an apparent deportation from several years ago.  His fight with Jermall Charlo was cancelled, and Molina’s immediate future in the sport is up in the air.
3) Erislandy Lara (1-140-162)
Last Fight: 12/7/2013- UD12 #4 Austin Trout
Next Fight: 5/2/2014- vs. #6 Ishe Smith
Mayweather says that his protege Smith will be fighting Lara on May 2, the day before Mayweather-Maidana.
4) Floyd Mayweather, Jr. (1-26-26)
Last Fight: 9/14/2013- W* (MD12) vs. #2 Saul Alvarez
Next Fight: 5/3/2014- vs. #4 WW Marcos Maidana (at WW)
Floyd will fight Maidana rather than Khan.  Thank goodness.
5) Austin Trout (14-93-162)
Last Fight: 12/7/2013- L (UD12) vs. #5 Erislandy Lara
Next Fight: Unknown
Trout might be getting to that unfortunate position of having a record underwhelming enough to be low-reward, while still being easily skilled enough to be high-risk.  He says essentially that he wants worthwhile fights in 2014, rather than a soft diet for rebuilding purposes.
6) Ishe Smith (26-55-55)
Last Fight: 9/14/2013- L (SD12) vs. #1 Carlos Molina
Next Fight: 5/2/2014- vs. #3 Erislandy Lara
See Lara’s notes, above.
7) Anthony Mundine (15-15-15)
Last Fight: 1/29/2014- UD10 Gunnar Jackson (UNR) (at MW)
Next Fight: 4/2/2014- vs. Joshua Clottey (UNR)
Mundine will be fighting Joshua Clottey on April 2, and wants a fight with Lara after that.
8) Miguel Cotto (15-197-197)
Last Fight: 10/5/2013- TKO3 #11 Delvin Rodriguez
Next Fight: 6/7/2014- vs. MW Champ Sergio Martinez (at MW)
Cotto and Martinez have now officially agreed to a Middleweight Championship fight on June 7 at MSG.
9) Cornelius Bundrage (15-188-188)
Last Fight: 1/24/2014- UD12 Joey Hernandez (UNR)
Next Fight: Unknown
K9 was the mandatory for the Molina-Charlo winner.  With that fight at least postponed, it’s unclear what will happen next.
10Alfredo Angulo (15-233-233)
Last Fight: 3/8/2014- L (TKO10) vs. #4 Saul Alvarez
Next Fight: Unknown
Angulo could probably use a fight with a gatekeeper or low level fringe contender just to get his career momentum going.
11) Sergey Rabchenko (15-91)
Last Fight: 11/16/2013- UD12 Bradley Pryce (UNR)
Next Fight: Unknown
Apparently reports that Rabchenko had dumped his Euro belt were premature.  His promoter, Ricky Hatton, is saying that he is waiting on a date to fight Italy’s Emanuele Della Rosa for that title.  He’s also ranked #1 by the WBC, so with Mayweather apparently going back down to 147, he hopes to fight for a vacant alphabet belt after that.

12) Javier Maciel (15-20)
Last Fight: 10/26/2013- Robbery L (SD12) vs. #14 Brian Rose
Next Fight: Unknown
After the blog “A Puro Boxeo” reported that Maciel would be fighting Baysangurov on March 15, there’s been no mention of that fight anywhere else, and it doesn’t appear on Boxrec’s schedule.  I have to assume it’s off, or that the reporting was incorrect to begin with.
13) Demetrius Andrade (15-18)
Last Fight: 11/9/2013- W* (SD12) vs. #13 Vanes Martirosyan
Next Fight: Unknown Date- vs. #19 Brian Rose
Andrade and Rose have agreed to fight in the US, with June 14 now likely.
14) Delvin Rodriguez (15-139)
Last Fight: 10/5/2013- L (TKO3) vs. #7 Miguel Cotto
Next Fight: Unknown
Rodriguez appears to be solid against borderline top-10 types (see Wolak), but completely out of his depth at just a tad higher level.
15) Vanes Martirosyan (15-145)
Last Fight: 11/9/2013- L* (SD12) vs. Demetrius Andrade (UNR)
Next Fight: 3/21/2014- vs. Mario Lozano (UNR)
Vanes has signed with a new promoter, and will debut under the Goossen-Tutor banner on March 21st’s Friday Night Fights broadcast.  He was initially slated to fight the solid Luciano Cuello, but he’ll settle for mid-level journeyman Mario Lozano after Cuello pulled out over money.
16) Jermell Charlo (7-40)
Last Fight: 1/25/2014- UD10 Gabriel Rosado (UNR)
Next Fight: Unknown
Charlo let Rosado back into the fight late, but overall was very impressive against a battle-tested opponent.
17) Gabriel Rosado (7-7)
Last Fight: 1/25/2014- L (UD10) vs. #18 Jermell Charlo
Next Fight: Unknown
Atrocious judges and a fragile eyelid have helped put Rosado’s career more or less in tatters.
18) Willie Nelson (7-54)
Last Fight: 6/29/2013- UD10 Luciano Cuello (UNR)
Next Fight: Unknown Date- vs. James Kirkland (UNR)
Nelson’s camp says there’s a deal in place to fight Kirkland.  The fight will likely take place on April 26 at MSG.
19) Brian Rose (7-51)
Last Fight: 10/26/2013- Robbery W (Draw at best) vs. Javier Maciel (UNR)
Next Fight: Unknown
See Andrade’s notes, above.
20) Guido Pitto (7-13)
Last Fight: 10/26/2013- L* (UD12) vs. #20 Jack Culcay
Next Fight: Unknown

 

The Week Ahead: 
Saturday
Kell Brook vs. Alvaro Robles; Liverpool, England; Sky Sports 2 (UK)
Brook is mostly a welterweight, but this fight will be fought well above that limit.  I’ve got the unbeaten British prospect ranked just outside the top 20 at the moment, and since Mexico’s Robles is a legit gatekeeper, there’s a good chance the winner could be ranked next week.  

 

Ed Paredes vs. George Sosa; Bayamon, Puerto Rico; Off TV
Paredes is an American gatekeeper who can’t seem to get significant fights, having had his last one in 2010 against Antonio Pitalua.  This will be no exception, as Sosa is a low-level New Jersey journeyman who always destroys abysmal competition, but always loses decisively against those with a pulse.  This will be on the Garcia-Herrera undercard, but no TV for this particular fight.

 

Patrick Teixeira vs. Ignacio Lucero; Sao Paolo, Brazil; TV Unknown
Teixeira is an undefeated Brazilian prospect who was lucky to get the decision the one time I’ve seen him fight on Friday Night Fights against Marcus Willis (I had it a draw).  He’s ridiculously easy to hit- a face-first pressure fighter who never lifts his hands.  Lucero is probably not the guy to expose him, though.  He’s basically a lower-mid-level journeyman from Argentina, though he is coming off a decision win in his last fight against a less advanced undefeated prospect.

Welterweight: 2013, Dec 9-15

Posted in Rankings, Welterweight with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , on February 10, 2014 by danboxing
Undefeated Australian Jeff Horn on Friday won what has to be viewed objectively as a bit of an upset in Northbridge, Western Australia against Tunisian-born fellow Aussie Naoufel Ben Rabeh.  Ben Rabeh was a top 50 gatekeeper with a string of 13 straight wins- including a knockout of gatekeeper Isaac Hlatshwayo in 2011- dating back to 2008.  Horn was an untested 5-0 prospect.  It was just a 6-rounder, and frankly I would have to say the effort was workmanlike rather than in any way spectacular.  He basically outworked the older man, and ground out a close but relatively clear points victory.  Despite his record of having stopped essentially all of his previous opponents, I would put him more in the mold of a Daniel Geale sort of high-motor volume puncher than a true power puncher.  Granted that’s based on one single amateur video taken from what looked like the furthest corner of the ceiling in a small-looking venue, but that’s all I’ve got to go on.  He now joins Jake Carr among Australian prospects who successfully took big steps up early in their careers this year.

 

In the Battle of Brooklyn at the Barclay’s Center, fringe contender Paulie Malignaggi surprised me by absolutely dominating top-10 light welter contender Zab Judah over 12 rounds.  The judges had it too close, especially Michael Pernick at 116-111.  I gave Judah two rounds, and that might be on the generous side.  He got a knockdown in round two that was hotly contested by Malignaggi, so you have to give him that one (10-9 by my reckoning).  The only other one he even might have squeaked out, and which I gave him, was round seven.  This result (and the one that follows) set up a troubling set of paradoxes in my rankings that I’ll discuss below.

 

On the undercard, technically undefeated prospect Shawn Porter (he should have at least one loss to Alfonso Gomez) sprung a major upset on #5 Devon Alexander.  I scored this one 118-110, as well.  Porter was first.  He committed to the body.  He was awkward defensively, and perhaps that led to the fact that Alexander tended to wait too long.  Alexander seldom punched until Porter was already in his kitchen, and Alexander’s longer arms were not effective at that range.  I could see one round that I gave to Porter going to Alexander, and so the closest reasonable score I can endorse would be 117-111 for Porter.  But much as he did against Kotelnik, Matthysse, and to a lesser extent against Maidana, Alexander got a bit more than just the benefit of the doubt from the judges.  Waleska Roldan had it one round outside the realm of reality at 116-112, and she was joined by John Stewart.  Julie Lederman was even further off the reservation at 115-113.  Obviously this one won’t go down as a robbery because the right guy still won, but that doesn’t mean we should just forget about the botch-job that it was.

 

Last week’s #4 Shane Mosley announced his retirement on Saturday, prompting his removal from the rankings.

 

So now to the rather confused rankings situation.  Porter debuts at #5.  Alexander falls to #9.  Malignaggi debuts at #14.  Maidana moves up two to #4.   Meanwhile, Van Heerden, Abregu, Zaveck, Provodnikov, Cano, and Dan each fall one spot.  Kevin Bizier is forced out after debuting last week.

 

So why is the above so problematic, as alluded to above?  Start with Maidana.  He passes a guy who beat him in 2012 due to Alexander’s fall.  That’s not usually a result I seek.  In addition, he remains ahead of the guy who beat the guy that beat him.  Also not the most logically sound of possible outcomes.  On the other hand, Maidana is resurgent, having beaten a #4 contender by TKO in his last fight.  As for Porter, there is reason enough to argue that he either had an exceptionally good night, or that Alexander had an exceptionally bad one.  After all, it wasn’t long ago that he was struggling to scratch out a debatable draw with Julio Diaz, and before that he clearly lost to Alfonso Gomez.  The head-to-head comparison versus Alexander doesn’t carry quite as much sway as the weight of the overall resume, and thus Maidana wins out in a close call.  His fight this weekend could go a long way to confirm or alter that state of affairs, however.

 

Next, Malignaggi.  I don’t care what the judges say.  He lost in dominant fashion to Cano.  But now he’s ranked well ahead of the young Mexican.  Ultimately it comes down to this: you have to credit a guy for winning a pretty big fight.  Making the decision a little easier is the fact that Cano did lose a fight in the interim (against Shane Mosley), and also the fact that he came in three quarters of a pound overweight for the fight.

 

The other x-factor is Adrien Broner.  It doesn’t really make sense that he should be unranked after pretty clearly beating the guy that’s now the #14 contender.  That being said, Malignaggi wasn’t at this height when he fought Broner, and I don’t make it a practice of re-ranking a guy based on what his opponent later does.  Is Broner a top 20 welterweight?  Yes.  Can I rank him there without opening up an even bigger quagmire of subjectivity and inconsistency?  I think not.  He’ll have his opportunity to earn that ranking beyond all doubt this Saturday, for what it’s worth.

 

Dan’s Top 20 (Weeks in Current Position-Weeks in Top 10 if applicable-Weeks in Top 20)
Champ: Floyd Mayweather, Jr. (189-221-221)
Last Fight: 9/14/2013- W* (MD12) vs. #2 JMW Saul Alvarez (at JMW)
Next Fight: Unknown
Floyd will likely be back on both May 3 and September 13, with Amir Khan being rumored as the May 3 opponent.
1) Timothy Bradley (9-9-79)
Last Fight: 10/12/2013- W (SD12) vs. #1 Juan Manuel Marquez
Next Fight: Unknown
Bradley-Pacquiao II is very likely for April 12.
2) Juan Manuel Marquez (9-109-109)
Last Fight: 10/12/2013- L (SD12) vs. #17 Timothy Bradley
Next Fight: Unknown
After retirement was mentioned a couple different times, Marquez now says he intends to fight twice in 2014.
3) Manny Pacquiao (9-262-262)
Last Fight: 11/23/2013- UD12 #5? JWW Brandon Rios
Next Fight: Unknown
See Bradley’s notes, above.
 
4) Marcos Maidana (1-27-27)
Last Fight: 6/8/2013- TKO6 #4 Josesito Lopez
Next Fight: 12/14/2013- vs. LW Champ Adrien Broner
The Maidana-Broner fight on December 14 will now headline a regular Showtime Championship boxing broadcast, instead of a PPV, as the undercard has suffered significant collapses.
5) Shawn Porter (1-1-1)
Last Fight: 12/7/2013- UD12 #5 Devon Alexander
Next Fight: Unknown
All indications are that Porter will fight his mandatory, Kell Brook, next.
6) Jesus Soto Karass (1-20-46)
Last Fight: 7/27/2013- TKO12 #7 Andre Berto
Next Fight: 12/14/2013- vs. #13 Keith Thurman
Soto Karass’s fight with Thurman has been moved from the December 7 Malignaggi-Judah undercard in Brooklyn to the following week’s pay-per-view tilt between Broner and Maidana.
7) Robert Guerrero (1-55-72)
Last Fight: 5/4/2013- L (UD12) vs. Champ Floyd Mayweather, Jr.
Next Fight: Unknown
Guerrero turned down Keith Thurman for a proposed November fight, according to both fighters’ promoter.  Dan Rafael reports that Guerrero might be waiting around to fight the winner of Maidana-Broner.  He’s also been rumored to be in the mix to fight Khan, though his team has denied it.
8) Kell Brook (1-137-137)
Last Fight:10/26/2013- TKO4 Vyacheslav Senchenko (UNR)
Next Fight: Unknown
See Porter’s notes, above.
9) Devon Alexander (1-94-94)
Last Fight: 12/7/2013- L (UD12) vs. Shawn Porter (UNR)
Next Fight: Unknown
10) Randall Bailey (3-3-3)
Last Fight: 11/23/2013- W (DQ8) vs. Humberto Toledo (UNR)
Next Fight: Unknown
11) Josesito Lopez (3-77)
Last Fight: 6/8/2013- L (TKO6) vs. #11 Marcos Maidana
Next Fight: 12/13/2013- vs. Mike Arnaoutis (UNR)
Just days after the fight was announced, Lopez’s December 13 opponent for on an FS1-televised card from Indio, California, Aaron Martinez, withdrew with injury.  He’ll now be fighting veteran Mike Arnaoutis, instead.
12) Andre Berto (3-55)
Last Fight: 7/27/2013- L (TKO12) vs. #11 Jesus Soto Karass
Next Fight: Unknown
 
Berto’s shoulder surgery will keep him out until sometime in 2014.
13) Keith Thurman (3-40)
Last Fight: 7/27/2013- KO10 Diego Chaves (UNR)
Next Fight: 12/14/2013- vs. #6 Jesus Soto Karass
See Soto Karass’s notes, above.
14) Paulie Malignaggi (1-1)
Last Fight: 12/7/2013- UD12 #8? JWW Zab Judah
Next Fight: Unknown
Malignaggi expects a big money fight in the wake of his handy victory over Judah.  He is interested in the Maidana-Broner winner.
15) Chris van Heerden (1-78)
Last Fight: 3/2/2013- UD12 Matthew Hatton (UNR)
Next Fight: Unknown
Amidst conflicting reports variously suggesting he would fight in February in the US or in South Africa, the truth has emerged.  He’s starting a 3-year contract with a US promoter, and supposedly has a fight planned for early in the new year.
16) Luis Carlos Abregu (1-33)
Last Fight: 4/27/2013- UD10 Antonin Decarie (UNR)
Next Fight: Unknown
Abregu’s plans for an October fight have been scrapped, as he recently had 2013-ending hand surgery.  The WBC is looking to match him with Antonin Decarie when he returns.
17) Jan Zaveck (1-209)
Last Fight: 10/19/2013- UD8 Sebastien Allais (UNR)
Next Fight: Unknown
As expected, Zaveck had little trouble with French journeyman Allais.
18) Ruslan Provodnikov (1-39)
Last Fight: 10/19/2013- RTD10 #3 JWW Mike Alvarado (at JWW)
Next Fight: Unknown
Provodnikov proved against Alvarado that the Bradley fight was no fluke.  He’s a big-time fighter now.  Mostly it’s all rumor at this point, but there has been speculation of his fighting Rios or Marquez.  He said he would refuse a fight with Pacquiao, a friend with whom he shares a trainer.
19) Pablo Cesar Cano (1-13)
Last Fight: 9/14/2013- W (SD10*) vs. Ashley Theophane (UNR)
Next Fight: Unknown
Cano said after the 143-pound catchweight win against Theophane that he intends to seek title contention at 140 now.  I must say I’m surprised by the move, considering he failed to make weight for one of his biggest fights at 147 against Malignaggi.

20) Jo Jo Dan (1-2)
Last Fight: 11/30/2013- W* (SD12) vs. Kevin Bizier (UNR)
Next Fight: Unknown
Dan wants a title shot.  My belief is that he owes Bizier a rematch.

 

The Week Ahead:
Friday
#11 Josesito Lopez vs. Mike Arnaoutis; Indio, California; Fox Sports 1 (US)
Lopez will mainly looking to keep busy and keep his name out there against shopworn veteran Mike Arnaoutis.  Arnaoutis was once a pretty legitimate gatekeeper, but at 34 he hasn’t kept the gate too effectively of late.

 

Alvaro Robles vs. Miguel Lopez; Mexicali, Mexico; Off TV
Two-loss local prospect Robles will just look to get some easy work in, having been out of the ring since getting the biggest win of his career back in March.  Lopez is sub-par and sub-.500.

 

Saturday
Leonard Bundu vs. Lee Purdy; London, England; Sky (UK)
Just a couple weeks ago, Bundu was in the top 20 and looking to improve his ranking.  Now he’s barely in sight of the top 20 after a flurry of welterweight action recently.  He’ll look to change all that when he takes on Lee Purdy, a serviceable English gatekeeper who gave Devon Alexander a reasonably good scrap earlier this year.

 

#4 Marcos Maidana vs. LW Champ Adrien Broner; San Antonio, Texas; Showtime (US)
If hype is the measure, Broner has got to be the favorite.  Not that he’s all hype.  He does have a lightweight Championship in his pocket, having dominated Antonio DeMarco back in March.  But welterweight is a better division than lightweight, to say nothing for the peril of stepping up in weight.  And Maidana is among its best and hardest-hitting contenders.  Broner looked downright ordinary against Malignaggi, and I daresay Maidana would eat Brooklyn’s finest for lunch.  If Broner can pull off a win this big, he will have earned the hype, to a large extent, at his new weight.  But he’ll need to come prepared for battle to a much greater extent than he did in his last outing.

 

#6 Jesus Soto Karass vs. #13 Keith Thurman; San Antonio, Texas; Showtime (US)
Soto Karass will put his recent string of success to the test against hard-hitting undefeated prospect Keith Thurman.  Thurman, despite his strength and concussive power, was struggling with a big physical Argentine in Diego Chaves last time out, but showed that he’s more than capable of switching styles and boxing a little when plan A doesn’t work.  That might be the difference maker against Soto Karass, who more or less knows just one way to fight.